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Mary Meeker’s Internet Presentation 2009 – Web 2.0 Summit October 23, 2009

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Mary Meeker, Researcher at Morgan Stanley, has gave an interesting presentation at Web 2.0 in San Francisco about “Economy and Internet Trends”.

View this document on Scribd

Gartner Says Worldwide PC Shipments Returned to Growth in Third Quarter of 2009 October 15, 2009

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STAMFORD, Conn., October 14, 2009 — The PC industry performed better than expected as worldwide PC shipments totalled 80.9 million units in the third quarter of 2009, a 0.5 per cent increase from the third quarter of 2008, according to preliminary results by Gartner, Inc. Gartner had expected PC shipments to decline 5.6 per cent in the quarter.[…]

“The consumer market continued to lead unit shipment growth, driven by low priced mobile PCs,” Ms Kitagawa said. “Ongoing price declines continue to be a major issue in the PC industry. PC vendor performance cannot be determined solely by unit market share gains as related revenues and margin performance are key to surviving in very competitive market.”

Table 1
Preliminary Worldwide PC Vendor Unit Shipment Estimates for 3Q09 (Thousands of Units)


Company

3Q09 Shipments

3Q09 Market Share (%)

3Q08 Shipments

3Q08 Market Share (%)

3Q09-3Q08 Growth (%)

Hewlett-Packard

16,120

19.9

14,785

18.4

9.0

Acer

12,484

15.4

10,098

12.5

23.6

Dell Inc.

10,343

12.8

11,089

13.8

-6.7

Lenovo

6,878

8.5

5,941

7.4

15.8

Toshiba

4,036

5.0

3,643

4.5

10.8

Others

31,003

38.3

34,914

43.4

-11.2

Total

80,864

100.0

80,470

100.0

0.5

Note: Data includes desk-based PCs, mobile PCs and X86 servers.
Source: Gartner (October 2009)

via Gartner Says Worldwide PC Shipments Returned to Growth in Third Quarter of 2009.

Social technology growth marches on in 2009, led by social network sites August 26, 2009

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Forrester Social Technographics Ladder 2009

We just published our third annual Social Technographics Profile in a document called “The Broad Reach of Social Technologies” . The author is Sean Corcoran, with help from out data expert Cynthia Pflaum. The data across North America, Europe, and Asia.is now available.

Forrester Social Technographics Profile 2009

The headline: in 2009, more than four out of five online Americans are active in either creating, participating in, or reading some form of social content at least once a month. In a bit more detail:

  • In the US, social technology Creators and Collectors grew slowly, and Critics didn’t grow at all. Creator activity appeals only to those who like to create or upload content, and regardless of the ease of blogging and YouTube uploading, this doesn’t apply to everybody. If you believe in the future that everybody will be creating or organizing content, we disagree — it’s a matter of temperament, not technology. As for Critics, those who react to content, this group hasn’t grown at all. Looking deeper into the data, this is a result of a small but actual decrease in the number of people contributing to discussion forums. Why? Probably because much of this activity has been sucked into social network sites like Facebook.
  • At the same time, Joiner activity exploded and Spectators became nearly universal. The explosion in Joiners from 35% to 51% of online Americans reflects the appeal of Facebook, as both press coverage and invitations from friends suck more of us into social networks. Meanwhile, Spectators — those consuming social content — reached all the way to 73% of online Americans, which should end any remaining skepticism about whether this social thing is real. Soon, with the level of social content being put out there, it will be virtually impossible for an online consumer not to be a Spectator. Marketers, if you’re not doing social technology applications now, you’re officially behind. We expect a wave of Web site reorgs and redesigns to include social activity.

via Social technology growth marches on in 2009, led by social network sites.

Smartphone sales up 27% August 21, 2009

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According to market research firm Gartner, worldwide mobile phone sales declined 6% to 286 million units in the second quarter.   However smartphone sales were a bright spot posting a 27% gain.  Smartphone penetration was 14%, up from 10% a year ago.  The chart below shows the change in smartphone share by manufacturer over the last year.  Although Nokia still dominates with 45% share, Apple was the big winner last year with an increase in share from 3% to 13%.

gartner column
Source: Gartner, August 2009

The pie chart below shows the smartphone data cut by operating system, with the iPhone OS now ahead of Windows Mobile.

gartner pie
Source: Gartner, August 2009

Gartner also states that Palm is in 10th place in the smartphone market and sold 205,000 Palm Pre units in Q2.  Please note that this data from Gartner is based on the number of units devices sold, a much different methodology than is used to calculate share of mobile web usage each month in our Mobile Metrics Report.

via Smartphone sales up 27% « AdMob Metrics

Number of 3G users in US to overtake Japan in 2011, but China will take top spot in 2014 August 4, 2009

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CommsUpdate Image

Data 2009 (end of march):

  • Japan (NTT DoCoMo) 92 million UMTS users which means 85% of the total wireless subscriber base (market is close to saturation)
  • USA ca. 45 million UMTS users
  • South Korea ca. 30 million end UMTS users

With a substantially larger population, the US will overtake Japan for 3G subscribers in 2011. At that point the US 3G market will still be growing strongly, but within three years it too will lose first place as China inevitably overtakes it. At around the same time, India will surpass Japan and take over the number three spot in the ranking. On a regional basis, the number of Asian 3G subscribers at the end of 2013 will be two times greater than the number of Western European subscribers and four times greater than the number 3G subscribers in North America.

TeleGeography’s GlobalComms Insight provides detailed subscriber and market forecasts for over 160 countries and includes country-level forecasts for 3G/4G subscribers. It is a companion to the GlobalComms Database, a regularly updated online database of wireline, wireless and broadband competition. No other telecoms market research service rivals their collective geographic scope and depth of coverage.

via Number of 3G users in US to overtake Japan in 2011, but China will take top spot in 2014: CommsUpdate : TeleGeography Research.

Six in 10 companies plan to skip Windows 7 July 13, 2009

Posted by hruf in Enterprise 2.0, Internet & Communities.
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SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – Six in 10 companies in a survey plan to skip the purchase of Microsoft Corp’s Windows 7 computer operating system, many of them to pinch pennies and others over concern about compatibility with their existing applications.[…]

Many of the more than 1,000 companies that responded to a survey by ScriptLogic Corp say they have economized by cutting back on software updates and lack the resources to deploy Microsoft’s latest offering.[…]

The survey found out:

  • 60% have not plans to deploy Windows 7
  • 34% will deploy it by the end of 2010
  • 5.4% will deploy it by the end of this year

Reasons:

  • 42% avoiding Windows 7 because of “lack of time and resources”
  • 35% had already skipped upgrades or delayed purchases to save money
  • 39% had concerns about the compatibility of Windows 7 with existing applications

via Six in 10 companies plan to skip Windows 7: survey | Technology | Reuters.

MediaPost Publications Study: 4 In 10 Smartphone Users Would Switch To iPhone 06/23/2009 June 23, 2009

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Almost 4 in 10 smartphone users who don’t have an iPhone would switch to the popular Apple device for their next purchase, while 4 out of 5 of current iPhone users would buy the phone again, according to a new study.

The report, by market research firm Crowd Science, also found that only 14% of non-BlackBerry users would switch to a BlackBerry device for their next mobile phone. The iPhone further outpaced other smartphones in customer satisfaction in areas such as screen size, navigation, ability to add new features and video playback quality.

via MediaPost Publications Study: 4 In 10 Smartphone Users Would Switch To iPhone 06/23/2009.

Web-to-TV Video Streaming Services Will Drive Nearly $3 Billion in Revenue by 2013 May 5, 2009

Posted by hruf in Internet & Communities, Multimedia.
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SCOTTSDALE, Ariz., May 4, 2009 – The under-35 adult population in the US has already adopted Web-to-TV video capability, reports In-Stat http://www.in-stat.com. Over 40% of young adult US households view Internet video on the TV at least once per month. Revenue from Web-to-TV streaming services will grow to $2.9 billion in 2013.

“Once Web-to-TV video becomes simple and convenient, mass consumer adoption will follow quite rapidly,” says Keith Nissen, In-Stat analyst. “Our primary research shows that users want a variety of their consumer devices to enable a web-to-TV video experience.”

Recent research by In-Stat found the following:

  • Within five years, the number of US broadband households viewing Web-to-TV content will grow to 24 million.
  • Already, 29% of US 25 to 34 year olds with game consoles use the devices to watch streaming video off the Internet.
  • In five years, there will be 7.4 million US broadband households that use media center PCs for streaming Web-to-TV content.
  • TV networks and pay TV operators currently view online TV as additive to pay TV services, but Web-to-TV will ultimately force a complete restructuring of today’s video services.
  • Video content will be optimized for broadcast or Web-to-TV based on content type.

via In-Stat – Press Releases.

Predicting the Present with Google Trends and Google Insights for Search April 3, 2009

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Can Google queries help predict economic activity?

The answer depends on what you mean by “predict.” Google Trends and Google Insights for Search provide a real time report on query volume, while economic data is typically released several days after the close of the month. Given this time lag, it is not implausible that Google queries in a category like “Automotive/Vehicle Shopping” during the first few weeks of March may help predict what actual March automotive sales will be like when the official data is released halfway through April.

That famous economist Yogi Berra once said “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” This inspired our approach: let us lower the bar and just try to predict the present.

Our work to date is summarized in a paper called Predicting the Present with Google Trends. We find that Google Trends data can help improve forecasts of the current level of activity for a number of different economic time series, including automobile saleshome salesretail sales, and travel behavior

via Official Google Research Blog: Predicting the Present with Google Trends.