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IDC’s 2010 Forecast and Top10 Predictions December 4, 2009

Posted by pannet in Uncategorized.
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IDC’S Top10 Trends for 2010:

2010 will be a year of modest recovery for the IT and telecommunications industries. But the recovery will not mean a return to the pre-recession status quo. Rather, we’ll see a radically transforming marketplace — driven by surging demand in emerging
markets, growing impact from the cloud services model, an explosion of mobile devices and applications, and the continuing rollout of higher-speed networks. These transformational forces will drive key players to redefine themselves and their offerings and will spark lots of M&A activity.

  • Growth will return to the IT industry in 2010. We predict 3.2% growth for the year returning the industry to 2008 spending levels of about $1.5 trillion.
  • 2010 will also see improved growth and stability in the worldwide telecommunications market, with worldwide spending predicted to increase 3%.
  • Emerging markets will lead the IT recovery, with BRIC countries growing 8–13%.
  • Cloud computing will expand and mature as we see a strategic battle for cloud platform leadership, new public cloud hot spots, private cloud offerings, cloud appliances, and offerings that bridge public and private clouds.
  • It will be a watershed year in the ascension of mobile devices as strategic platforms for commercial and enterprise developers as over 1 billion access the Internet, iPhone apps triple, Android apps quintuple, and Apple’s “iPad” arrives.
  • Public networks — more important than ever — will continue their aggressive evolution to fiber and 3G and 4G wireless. 4G will be overhyped, more wireless networks will become “invisible,” and the FCC will regulate over-the-top VoIP.
  • Business applications will undergo a fundamental transformation — fusing business applications with social/collaboration software and analytics into a new
    generation of “socialytic” apps, challenging current market leaders.
  • Rising energy costs and pressure from the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference will make sustainability a source of renewed opportunity for the IT industry in 2010.
  • Other industries will come out of the recession with a transformation agenda and look to IT as an increasingly important lever for these initiatives. Smart meters
    and electronic medical records will hit important adoption levels.
  • The IT industry’s transformations will drive a frenetic pace of M&A activity.

See the full reports for details:

http://cdn.idc.com/research/predictions10/downloads/Top10Predictions.pdf.

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